Seminar: The SIR model for spread of communicable disease

Tanmay Lele, Ph.D.

Date(s) - 03/23/2020
9:35 am - 10:30 am


Charles A. Stokes Professor of Chemical Engineering
UF Department of Chemical Engineering

“The SIR Model for Spread of Communicable Disease”

Abstract: Amid the current COVID-19 crisis, it is crucially important to predict how infection will spread, and predict the impact of interventions like social distancing. The susceptible-infective-removed (SIR) model or variations on it are used in epidemiology for predicting transmission of communicable diseases. Both scientific papers and popular media frequently allude to parameters in this model while discussing the future dynamics of COVID-19. This talk is designed to educate students on details of the SIR model, key parameters in it, and how this model (or variations on it) can be used to understand and predict spread of disease. We hope that this introductory lecture helps students better understand scientific and popular reports of COVID-19 spread, and build  an appreciation for the power and also the limitations of modeling in this field.

Bio: Dr. Lele is the director of the Institute of Cell & Tissue Science and Engineering at UF and has devoted his career to mechanobiology. He has been with the department since 2006 and continues to make strides in advancing the scientific understanding of how cells work. Dr. Lele holds an affiliate appointment in the J. Crayton Pruitt Family Department of Biomedical Engineering and Department of Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering.

Zoom Link:

Meeting ID: 912 063 467

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